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Executive Briefings

Published

Federal Construction Award Momentum

State-level federal construction contract-award momentum from USAspending — a leading demand signal.

Q2 2026Updated Q2 2026DirectionalWIL-2026.1Capital Allocation

At a glance

ConfidenceDirectionalWIL-2026.1

Executive Brief

Decision-ready summary for leadership review — directional bands only, no raw data exports.

Standing Brief · Federal Award Momentum

Federal Construction Award Momentum

USAspending contract-award flow translated into directional momentum tiers — operational read for executive pursuit and staffing planning.

51States trackedNAICS-23 coverage
18Expanding+Momentum tier
31Construction NAICSAll subsectors
2026-09Last updatedRolling T12M
Coverage: 51 statesSource: USAspending (NAICS-23)Compare exposure markets →

Full Report

Complete structured analysis with charts, rankings, and methodology confidence.

High

Federal construction award flow is expanding rapidly year-over-year. Pursuit and staffing pressure is building fastest here.9 markets
MinnesotaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketconcentrated among a few primes
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
KentuckyHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketdominated by one or two primes
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
IowaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumemoderate volume
CaliforniaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
ArizonaHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketdominated by one or two primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
New MexicoHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketdominated by one or two primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
TexasHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
VermontHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumemoderate volume
WyomingHigh
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume

Elevated

Award flow is expanding at an above-trend pace. Worth active monitoring for hiring and capacity planning.9 markets
AlabamaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
NebraskaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
New HampshireElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketconcentrated among a few primes
Benchdeveloping bench
Volumemoderate volume
New JerseyElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketdominated by one or two primes
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
OhioElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
OklahomaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
Rhode IslandElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
TennesseeElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
VirginiaElevated
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume

Moderate

Award flow is broadly steady against the prior year. Conditions are stable but demand-cycle sensitive.2 markets
WisconsinModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
West VirginiaModerate
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume

Low

Award flow is subdued or contracting versus the prior year. Near-term federal demand pressure is limited.31 markets
AlaskaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
MichiganLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
MaineLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
MarylandLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
MassachusettsLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
LouisianaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
KansasLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
MissouriLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
IllinoisLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
IdahoLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
HawaiiLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
GeorgiaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
FloridaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
DelawareLow
TrendSoftening
Marketconcentrated among a few primes
Benchdeveloping bench
Volumemoderate volume
District of ColumbiaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
ConnecticutLow
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
ColoradoLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
ArkansasLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
IndianaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
MississippiLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumehigh volume
MontanaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
North CarolinaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
North DakotaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
NevadaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
New YorkLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
OregonLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
PennsylvaniaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
South CarolinaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
South DakotaLow
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumehigh volume
UtahLow
TrendSoftening
Marketmoderately concentrated
Benchmoderate bench
Volumevery high award volume
WashingtonLow
TrendSoftening
Marketcompetitive / fragmented field
Benchdeep contractor bench
Volumevery high award volume
Published reads report at the state level as directional bands. Segment- or company-level award intelligence is available through the research team.

Interactive Visualizations

Charts, indicators, and comparative views — institutional evidence without raw record access.

Award momentum composition

Award-momentum composition across tracked states
High 9 Elevated 9 Moderate 2 Low 31

Methodology Summary

Source families, framework version, and confidence framing — not proprietary formulas or scoring weights.

Institutional workforce intelligence methodology with documented confidence tier, source-family transparency, and quarterly refresh cadence. Public library packages exclude proprietary model details and raw-data exports.

Version
WIL-2026.1
Source families
BLS OEWS · BLS QCEW
Update cadence
Quarterly
Confidence
Directional

Executive Presentation

Slide-style summary for board and leadership review.

Slide 1

Situation Summary

State-level federal construction contract-award momentum from USAspending — a leading demand signal.

Slide 2

Key Findings

1. State-level federal construction contract-award momentum from USAspending

Slide 3

Implications

Directional workforce intelligence for institutional planning — banded operational reads without exposing raw-data exports or proprietary model details.